The China Cycle in Commercial Aviation
Brian Potter analyzes whether China's industrial strategy—the 'China cycle' of domestic technology absorption, subsidized scaling, and export saturation—can duplicate in commercial aviation via COMAC. Despite heavy capital investment, the immense complexity of high-bypass turbofan engines, avionics certification, and global safety maintenance networks presents an order-of-magnitude higher barrier than consumer electronics or high-speed rail. construction-physics.com